Event: Outcome of SAC/Steve Cohen Investigation
EVENT/OUTCOME SELECTION .............. Price
------------------------------------- -------
Martoma U-Turns by 30th June............1/4
> than 1 other SAC Mgr Indicted.........3/5
SAC Redemptions Suspended...............2/1
Cohen Personal Assets Frozen............3/1
Blackstone Redeems < Jul 1 2014.........3/5
SAC AUM Jan 1 2014 > $10bn..............8/1
Cohen Deal Struck - Profit Forfeit.....3/1
+Int+Huge Fine BUT No admission Guilt
SAC Pays At least 8-Digit Fine.........2/11
SAC Pays At least 9-Digit Fine..........3/8
SAC Pays > than 10-Digit Fine...........2/3
Cohen Indicted..........................3/2
Bail Set at < $5,000,000................4/3
Bail Set at > $5mm < $10mm..............5/4
Bail Set at $10mm++.....................5/4
No Bail................................99/1
Cohen Case Goes to Jury Trial...........4/1
Ex-Wife Testifies at trial..............7/2
Cohen Found NOT Guilty in Jury Trial....3/2
Cohen Found Guilty in Jury Trial........3/2
Cohen Appeals...........................2/9
Guilty - Fine but No Jail..............10/1
Guilty - < 1 years.....................10/1
Guilty - > 1 < 3 year...................4/1
Guilty - > 3 years......................5/1
Cohen on Cover Time Magazine............5/1
Cohen Indicted under RICO Act...........4/1Cohen on Cover Time Magazine............5/1
Cohen retains Geoff Boies...............6/1
Cohen retains Alan Dershowitz...........5/1
Cohen Consults With OJ.................50/1
Elan Investors File Civil Suit..........2/3
Ruth Madoff sues SAC .................100/1
Fred Wilpon sues SAC..................100/1
Cohen Admits Guilt/Plea bagains........75/1
Feds File Charges Then Drop Case .....100/1
No Charges/No Trial/No Fines Dec 2014..25/1
Cohen Seen Mowing Own Grass...........500/1
Steve Cohen gives $500 million to Karl Rove & Republican Party passes a Technical Corrections bill that insider trading for funds located on Cummings Point Rd. is not a crime. 2/1
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